Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.000894 0.000961 0.001033 0.001114 0.001203 0.001300 0.001413
2026-01-25 0.000916 0.001028 0.001153 0.001304 0.001483 0.001690 0.001951
2026-02-01 0.000812 0.000934 0.001076 0.001254 0.001475 0.001742 0.002096
2026-02-08 0.000739 0.000867 0.001020 0.001218 0.001472 0.001791 0.002234
2026-02-15 0.000691 0.000824 0.000987 0.001204 0.001491 0.001866 0.002407
2026-02-22 0.000643 0.000778 0.000946 0.001174 0.001484 0.001902 0.002527
2026-03-01 0.000596 0.000729 0.000897 0.001130 0.001453 0.001900 0.002589
2026-03-08 0.000565 0.000699 0.000871 0.001114 0.001459 0.001947 0.002726
2026-03-15 0.000536 0.000669 0.000843 0.001092 0.001453 0.001977 0.002838
2026-03-22 0.000496 0.000624 0.000791 0.001035 0.001391 0.001918 0.002802
2026-03-29 0.000472 0.000598 0.000765 0.001011 0.001377 0.001929 0.002879
2026-04-05 0.000458 0.000585 0.000756 0.001012 0.001400 0.001998 0.003060
2026-04-12 0.000440 0.000568 0.000743 0.001009 0.001423 0.002078 0.003285
2026-04-19 0.000473 0.000624 0.000837 0.001173 0.001722 0.002647 0.004507
2026-04-26 0.000444 0.000590 0.000798 0.001130 0.001682 0.002632 0.004602
2026-05-03 0.000421 0.000563 0.000767 0.001099 0.001658 0.002644 0.004754
2026-05-10 0.000404 0.000545 0.000750 0.001086 0.001666 0.002714 0.005040
2026-05-17 0.000385 0.000523 0.000724 0.001060 0.001647 0.002731 0.005212
2026-05-24 0.000365 0.000497 0.000693 0.001022 0.001603 0.002694 0.005254
2026-05-31 0.000352 0.000482 0.000677 0.001008 0.001603 0.002743 0.005508
2026-06-07 0.000338 0.000466 0.000658 0.000989 0.001591 0.002769 0.005710
2026-06-14 0.000318 0.000439 0.000622 0.000938 0.001517 0.002659 0.005546
2026-06-21 0.000306 0.000424 0.000604 0.000917 0.001498 0.002661 0.005682